BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Ark Little Rock

Class: 1 Class Rank: 212 Conference: Ohio Valley Record: (18-2) Overall: (21-10) Overall Strength =   35.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-10-2022 Home    W    29.12  60  56    1 283 ( 12- 16) Ark Pine Bluff         -6.04     10.04                      
  2 11-13-2022 Home    L    41.09  40  58    1  18 ( 23-  8) Mississippi             5.94    -23.94                      
  3 11-20-2022 Home    L    11.69  49  93    1  36 ( 21- 12) Arkansas              -23.47    -20.53                      
  4 11-23-2022 Home    L    19.61  62  74    1 224 ( 12- 18) Oral Roberts          -15.54      3.54                      
  5 11-30-2022 Away    L    31.15  48  70    1  65 ( 15- 14) Auburn                 -4.01    -17.99                      
  6 12-03-2022 Away    L    20.87  49  53 1  1 319 (  8- 18) Central Arkansas      -14.29     10.29                      
  7 12-06-2022 Home    W    48.03  42  38    1  90 (  9- 20) Texas A&M              12.87     -8.87                      
  8 12-11-2022 Away    L    21.61  25  48    1 131 ( 17- 12) Western Kentucky      -13.55     -9.45                      
  9 12-15-2022 Away    L    37.62  44  69    1  38 ( 20- 10) Alabama                 2.47 *  -27.47                      
 10 12-18-2022 Home    W    45.14  60  44    1 251 ( 13- 19) Arkansas St             9.98      6.02                      
 11 12-21-2022 Away    L    39.37  48  55    1 114 ( 19- 10) Missouri St             4.21    -11.21                      
 12 12-29-2022 Home    W *  31.43  45  44    1 234 ( 13- 17) TN Martin              -3.73      4.73                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    W *  33.38  64  57    1 312 ( 11- 18) Tennessee St           -1.77      8.77                      
 14 01-04-2023 Home    W *  37.21  62  38    1 352 (  2- 24) Lindenwood              2.05     21.95                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    W *  46.72  65  45    1 277 ( 16- 15) SE Missouri St         11.56      8.44                      
 16 01-12-2023 Away    W *  32.88  47  44    1 286 ( 12- 17) Southern Indiana       -2.27      5.27                      
 17 01-14-2023 Away    L *  26.73  33  44    1 210 ( 21-  8) E Illinois             -8.42     -2.58                      
 18 01-19-2023 Home    W *  49.37  61  45    1 197 ( 22-  9) Tennessee Tech         14.21      1.79                      
 19 01-21-2023 Home    W *  27.26  42  36    1 312 ( 11- 18) Tennessee St           -7.89     13.89                      
 20 01-26-2023 Away    W *  36.93  58  45    1 336 ( 11- 20) Morehead St             1.78     11.22                      
 21 01-28-2023 Away    W *  41.49  66  63    1 197 ( 22-  9) Tennessee Tech          6.33     -3.33                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    W *  50.84  58  39    1 277 ( 16- 15) SE Missouri St         15.68      3.32                      
 23 02-04-2023 Home    W *  36.46  76  59    1 316 (  9- 22) SIUE                    1.31     15.69                      
 24 02-09-2023 Home    W *  33.81  61  46    1 336 ( 11- 20) Morehead St            -1.34     16.34                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    W *  39.55  53  49    1 234 ( 13- 17) TN Martin               4.39     -0.39                      
 26 02-16-2023 Home    W *  32.76  58  50    1 286 ( 12- 17) Southern Indiana       -2.39     10.39                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  36.61  46  42    1 210 ( 21-  8) E Illinois              1.46      2.54                      
 28 02-23-2023 Away    W *  47.58  61  38    1 316 (  9- 22) SIUE                   12.43     10.57                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    W *  32.33  64  50    1 352 (  2- 24) Lindenwood             -2.83     16.83                      
 30 03-03-2023 Neutral W *  43.28  49  35    1 277 ( 16- 15) SE Missouri St          8.12      5.88                      
 31 03-04-2023 Neutral L *  27.93  46  54    1 197 ( 22-  9) Tennessee Tech         -7.23     -0.77                      
      Averages              35.16  53.0 51.0

Best game:   50.84 = 19 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  11.69 = 44 point loss to Arkansas
Team stdev:   9.40